Friday, November 5, 2010

Why I'm not a libertarian

There are two concepts which have been steadily pumped into the American psyche over the past 30 years by conservatives and libertarians:
  • Government is bad
  • Free markets are good
This worldview reached it's zenith during the Reagan era when it took hold as "truth" in the minds of many Americans. While these statements contain some truth--there is bad in too much government control and is good in markets--the statements become false in their absolutism. As usual, the truth is somewhere in the middle with shades of gray and a little more complexity:
  • Government does a lot of good, but has a tendency to go too far and needs to be restrained. 
  • Free markets encourage growth and innovation, but, left unchecked, create a winner take all society which people won't tolerate for long.
That won't fit on a bumper sticker, so as usual simplistic bumper sticker slogans dominate what should be a marketplace of ideas. Steering between the right amount of government control and the right amount of freedom in the markets is the key to governing. Despite what we're led to believe, even most conservatives accept that there has to be a balance between government and free markets. Free markets by themselves are not the answer.

The problem with free markets
Free markets lead to concentrations of wealth in fewer and fewer hands. It's just a fact: winners in the marketplace get power and use that power to crush competitors and gain more power. In fact, the notion of free markets is actually an ideal that doesn't exist in the real world. At it's core, government is nothing more than citizens making and enforcing rules for their society. People will always do this. It's as much a part of the natural flow of things as are the natural systems we call markets. Just as humans will always create behavioral rules enforced through some type of police and punishment system, when things get too unequal in a society, people will organize to change it, generally through some type of government control.

Libertarians, at least free market libertarians, think that government should only be involved in enforcing agreements and private property. They don't accept that the human desire to organize and structure society is just as natural as markets and that freedom and good is maximized in the balance of these two forces. I'm not a libertarian because I believe:
  • Government is good
  • Free markets are good
But it's all about balance.

Hmm...that would fit on a bumper sticker.

Monday, October 25, 2010

Explanation for 80% of the current inequality

In the 9 part survey article of the issue in Slate magazine, Timothy Noah comes up with a rough estimate of the causes of our current income inequality.

  • Race and gender are responsible for none of it, and single parenthood is responsible for virtually none of it.
  • Immigration is responsible for 5 percent.
  • The imagined uniqueness of computers as a transformative technology is responsible for none of it.
  • Tax policy is responsible for 5 percent.
  • The decline of organized labor is responsible for 20 percent.
  • Trade is responsible for 10 percent.
  • Wall Street and corporate board pay packages responsible for 30 percent.
  • Various failures in our education system are responsible for 30 percent.
In summary, this article attributes 80% of the inequality to decline of organized labor, Wall Street and corporate over-compensation, and poorly educated workers. So, taxing and/or otherwise regulating Wall Street would only have a small effect on the problem--worth doing something there, but not the whole issue.

More than 1/2 the growth since '76 has gone to top 1%

"Of every dollar of real income growth that was generated between 1976 and 2007, 58 cents went to the top 1 per cent of households."

This seems in line with what I've seen elsewhere and explains why our Income balance is so out of whack, but I haven't found the source yet. I'll update when I do or change to a sourced stat.

Sunday, October 24, 2010

Some Random References on Income Inequality

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

There has to be enough spending money in the system

It comes down to something very simple: Supply and Demand.

Demand = want + ability to pay
Demand is the driver. If there isn't enough money looking to be spent, that is, if there aren't enough people who want things and have money to spend, you won't have enough demand. It doesn't matter how much money is in the hands of the wealthy to invest and create businesses. Usually people think of demand as "wants" but you also have to have the ability to pay for these wants to actually create economic demand.

Bubble = investment inflation = too much money chasing too few investments
If not enough people can afford the products or services, the wealthy won't invest and the money goes into non-productive investments. Too much money chasing too few investment opportunities will create inflation of the price of the investments, AKA a bubble. Sound familiar? So, if too much of the money is in too few hands, there just isn't enough money in the system to make it work.

People gotta be able to afford your products
Henry Ford saw this back in the 20s. He saw that with mass production, he would be making a lot of cars. In order be successful, he needed lots of people who could buy his cars. He tripled his factory worker's salaries--basically so they could afford his cars. So it's not a new insight, it's just tough to figure out how to achieve the right balance.

Money makes the world go 'round--but not if only a few have most of it
The middle class needs to make enough money to drive the system. We have gone out of balance. This lack of spending money in the system has been a problem for a while, but we stumbled along by making credit easy. We weren't paying people enough, so we made play money readily available. We all know how well that worked out.

Our economy is out of whack
After WWII, the great expansion was driven by large demand because most people had money to spend. The rich were nowhere near as rich as they are now. Before I did some research, I found this hard to believe, myself, but I found that because of high taxes and the strength of labor unions, the top 1% only had about 10% of the income. From the 70s on, the rich kept getting richer, and now the top 1% have over 25% of the income. Somethings gone way out of whack.

Sunday, October 17, 2010

Income Inequality. Yawn. But then I did a little reading...

Over the past 15 years, I've read articles discussing Income Inequality in the US. I never felt it had much impact on my life. It seemed to be mostly a moral issue: some people had a huge slice of the pie, everyone else had to fight over what was left, and this inequality was getting bigger. Yup, it's unfair. Some people will want to do something about it, some won't. The topic would bring about a huge political fight and for what?

But I'm beginning to realize that Income Inequality has a profound effect on the health of an economy. Completely separate from the moral issue. I'll look at these points over the next several posts.

Common sense is neither

"Common sense" is not ...
  • common--two people can think totally opposing things and both call their ideas "common sense".
  • sensible--from my experience, what you think is "common sense" is often wrong once you examine the subject more closely.
Don't be lazy and limit your thinking to what you feel is common sense. Be very careful to examine your opinions, seek out other people's perspectives--especially those who do a lot of thinking on the topic at hand, and keep your mind open. 

COMMON SENSE

What we believe to be
Common Sense
Is neither common nor sensical.
It is a compendium
of our life's experiences.
When next you are faced
with someone who has
'no common sense'
Seize the opportunity to share
your wisdom and experience
and to absorb theirs as well.
Such is the attitude
from which
Mutual Respect
is born. 



The above is just something I found on the Internets here